8-max MTT · ante 12.5 % · UTG+1 opens, small blind folds · chip EV
Facing a UTG+1 open to 2.1 BB (small blind folds) with 80 big blinds, the big blind folds only 32% of hands, calls 61%, 3-bets to 10.5 BB with 6.8% and goes all-in with 0.1%. The big blind already has one blind in the pot and closes the action, so it gets a good price.
Always 3-bet: AA, AKs, AKo, AQs, AQo, KK, QQ, JJ.
Folded: K6o, K5o, K4o, K3o, K2o, Q8o, Q7o, Q6o, Q5o, Q4o, Q3o, Q2o and 20 more.
Against other openers at 80 BB the big blind continues with: vs BTN 71%, vs CO 73%, vs HJ 73%, vs LJ 70%, vs UTG 67%. The defence does not simply grow with the position of the opener here; the exact chart for each opener matters.
Closest decisions (the book continues with them only part of the time): J7o 48%, K7o 40%, 74o 64%, 63o 34%, 52o 26%. These are the hands worth drilling, because a small change in the opponents or the stack flips them.
The book continues with 68% of hands here, 68% at 70 BB and 67% at 100 BB. Going from 70 BB to 80 BB, no hand crosses the 50% line; only the frequencies shift.
One short lesson a day, each with a worked example in exact numbers: chips vs. money, the bubble factor, who feels the pressure, payout structures, satellites. No account needed.
Numbers come from the progressGTO solution book (v14, chip EV, 8-max, ante 12.5 %): our own equilibrium computation with a modelled postflop. It is an approximation, not an exact solution, and it keeps improving. Hover or tap a hand to see its exact frequencies.
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