progressBB defense vs UTG+1 open at 12 BB
8-max MTT · ante 12.5 % · UTG+1 opens, small blind folds · chip EV
How the BB defends at 12 BB
Facing a UTG+1 open to 2 BB (small blind folds) with 12 big blinds, the big blind folds only 27% of hands, calls 63% and goes all-in with 10%. The big blind already has one blind in the pot and closes the action, so it gets a good price.
Always all-in: AA, AKs, AKo, AQs, AQo, AJs, AJo, ATs, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, 77, 66.
Folded: K5o, K4o, K3o, K2o, Q7o, Q6o, Q5o, Q4o, Q3o, Q2o, J6o, J5o and 17 more.
Against other openers at 12 BB the big blind continues with: vs BTN 75%, vs CO 70%, vs HJ 72%, vs LJ 73%, vs UTG 72%. The defence does not simply grow with the position of the opener here; the exact chart for each opener matters.
Closest decisions (the book continues with them only part of the time): K6o 50%, Q8o 66%. These are the hands worth drilling, because a small change in the opponents or the stack flips them.
What changes around 12 BB
The book continues with 73% of hands here, 73% at 11 BB and 74% at 13 BB. Compared with 11 BB, these hands come into the range: K6o. Some hands switch to an all-in: A5o, K8o.
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Numbers come from the progressGTO solution book (v14, chip EV, 8-max, ante 12.5 %): our own equilibrium computation with a modelled postflop. It is an approximation, not an exact solution, and it keeps improving. Hover or tap a hand to see its exact frequencies.
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