8-max MTT · ante 12.5 % · folded to the Cutoff · chip EV
When the action folds to the Cutoff with 14 big blinds (8-max MTT with ante), the book plays 31% of hands: a raise to 2 BB with 15% and all-in with 16%. The other 69% fold.
Always raised: AA, AKs, AQs, AJs, ATs, A9s, A8s, A7s, A6s, A4o, A3s, A2s, KK, KJs and 14 more.
Always all-in: AQo, AJo, ATo, A9o, A8o, A7o, A5o, A4s, KQs, KQo, QTs, Q9s, JTs, J9s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 66 and 3 more.
Mixed hands (the book splits them between actions): AKo, A6o, A5s, A3o, KJo, K9s, QJs, QJo, Q7s, JTo, J9o, T8s, 88, 77 and 1 more.
At this depth the open is a small raise, with some hands going all-in directly.
Next to it at 14 BB: HJ 24%, BTN 40%. Seats closer to the button open more here, because fewer players are left to wake up with a big hand.
Closest decisions (the book opens them only part of the time): Q7s 62%, A3o 26%. These are the hands worth drilling, because a small change in the opponents or the stack flips them.
The book opens 31% of hands here, 31% at 13 BB and 30% at 15 BB. These leave it: A3o, 97s. With the extra chips some former all-ins become small raises: AKo, A4o, A3s, A2s, QJs, JTo and 2 more.
One short lesson a day, each with a worked example in exact numbers: chips vs. money, the bubble factor, who feels the pressure, payout structures, satellites. No account needed.
Numbers come from the progressGTO solution book (v14, chip EV, 8-max, ante 12.5 %): our own equilibrium computation with a modelled postflop. It is an approximation, not an exact solution, and it keeps improving. Hover or tap a hand to see its exact frequencies.
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